TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:56 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:00 AM ET.
More markets for the 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:00 AM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs. If prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into the sportsbook lines. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Osnabrück vs. Dresden match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, creating an implied probability for each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Osnabrück vs. Dresden match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes leading up to the match are also likely to cause movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can also impact the market price, reflecting changes in sentiment among traders.