TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:56 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game between VfL Osnabrück and SG Dynamo Dresden, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the VfL Osnabrück vs. SG Dynamo Dresden match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game between VfL Osnabrück and SG Dynamo Dresden, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the VfL Osnabrück vs. SG Dynamo Dresden match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s probabilities are driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different costs and risk tolerances, which can influence their odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible exact score. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and trader sentiment. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the VfL Osnabrück vs. SG Dynamo Dresden match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is officially confirmed and reported.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Osnabrück or Dresden could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause the odds to shift, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings. Public sentiment and expert analysis could also contribute to price movements.