TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga match between VfB Stuttgart and RB Leipzig scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on the final outcome (Stuttgart win, Leipzig win, or draw) after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined by 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics (bundesliga.com); if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensusCore resolution logic:
- Stuttgart win market resolves Yes if Stuttgart scores more goals than Leipzig after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- Leipzig win market resolves Yes if Leipzig scores more goals than Stuttgart after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- Draw market resolves Yes if both teams have equal goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- All win markets resolve No if the opposing outcome occurs
- Draw market resolves Yes if match is canceled entirely with no makeup game
- All markets remain open and unresolved if match is postponed; they resolve upon completion
- Resolution window is strictly 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed on its rescheduled date. No early resolution occurs.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Stuttgart win and Leipzig win markets resolve No, and the draw market resolves Yes.
- Extra Time or Penalties: Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution scope. Only the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the outcome.
- Resolution Source Timing: Official Bundesliga statistics are the primary source. If official stats are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on March 15, 2026, following 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Official resolution is expected within 2 hours of match conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.