TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln
Volume:
$913,630
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three interconnected prediction markets on the professional Bundesliga soccer match between VfB Stuttgart and 1. FC Köln scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets ask whether Stuttgart wins, Köln wins, or the match ends in a draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on the cancellation scenario. Polymarket explicitly resolves Stuttgart Win and Köln Win to No, but Draw to Yes if the game is canceled with no makeup. Kalshi does not specify cancellation handling, creating ambiguity about whether all three markets would resolve Yes (logically impossible) or follow a different rule.Hero Tip:
Assume Polymarket's explicit cancellation rules will apply on that platform. For Kalshi, request clarification from support on cancellation protocol before the match date. If you hold positions across both platforms, the Draw market on Polymarket becomes a hedge against cancellation risk.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Stuttgart Win (Yes if Stuttgart wins, No otherwise or if canceled), Draw (Yes if draw or if canceled with no makeup), Köln Win (Yes if Köln wins, No otherwise or if canceled). Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup triggers the stated resolutions. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (Draw only).
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcomes (Stuttgart Win, Draw, Köln Win) all resolve to Yes if that outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation and postponement handling are not explicitly defined. Key Quote: 'does not include extra time or penalties' (scope is clear, but edge case handling is absent).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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