TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in Germany's third-tier league. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled based on whether one team wins outright or if the match ends evenly.
The event resolves based on the result of the Verl vs Regensburg professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Verl wins, the 'Verl' market resolves to Yes. If Regensburg wins, the 'Regensburg' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to attract balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular result. Examining these differences can be a valuable part of your research process when considering how to approach this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations regarding the Verl vs Regensburg match.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Verl vs Regensburg match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances once resolution is complete. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market is reacting to any late-breaking news or developments that could influence the final result.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage can play a role, especially if there's a shift in the perceived likelihood of either team winning. Monitoring these factors and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for understanding potential movements in this market.