TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
Another professional league soccer match features two teams vying for a win, with the result settled within standard match duration without penalty shootouts.
If Vercelli wins the Vercelli vs Carpi professional Serie C soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Carpi wins the Vercelli vs Carpi professional Serie C soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Vercelli vs Carpi professional Serie C soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook's odds are inaccurate, they can take a position in this market, driving the price to reflect their collective view. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Vercelli vs Carpi match. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving expectations. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vercelli vs Carpi match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual outcome, and traders who correctly predicted the result will profit based on the difference between their purchase and sale price. The outcome will be determined by the final score of the match.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Additionally, updates on weather conditions, which might affect gameplay, or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators could shift the odds. Public perception and betting trends from external sources could also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. A surprising result in a related match could also impact expectations.