TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional KNVB soccer match between Venlo and Vitesse, focusing solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time. It excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts, emphasizing the immediate conclusion of regular match time. The resolution depends strictly on which team secures a win within this timeframe or if the match ends evenly.
The event determines the winner of the Venlo vs Vitesse professional KNVB soccer game scheduled for October 28, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If Venlo secures a victory within this period, the 'Venlo' market resolves positively. Conversely, a Vitesse win within the same timeframe results in the 'Vitesse' market resolving positively. Should the match conclude in a tie after regulation and stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves positively. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the defined procedures. The markets operate independently of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view, leading to a potentially more accurate forecast. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants and the impact of public sentiment. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or injuries.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. This contrasts with fixed-odds betting, where the sportsbook sets the price upfront and doesn't change it based on demand.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the regulation time moneyline for the Venlo vs Vitesse match. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine which team won, or if the match ended in a draw. No further information about the resolution process is available beyond this timing and general outcome verification.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions, tactical adjustments announced by either team's manager, or even shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis could also cause price movements. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or surprising statistical trends emerging before kickoff could prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids and asks accordingly.