TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result is determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Markets will adjust fairly if the match is significantly rescheduled or canceled.
The event resolves based on the result of the Venlo vs Roda professional Eerste Divisie soccer match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Venlo, a win for Roda, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The markets operate independently of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant disparity exists between the two, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It’s common to see differences, as each represents a distinct form of forecasting, and this market offers a unique view on the potential outcome of the Venlo vs Roda match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the combined expectations of all participants, and the market’s depth indicates how much volume is available at various price points, influencing how easily traders can enter or exit positions.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Venlo vs Roda match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result. The platform will verify the outcome and distribute funds accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements or developments related to either Venlo or Roda would likely cause price fluctuations. Significant betting activity from large traders could also move the market, as could broader shifts in public opinion regarding the match’s likely outcome. Monitoring these signals can provide insight into potential market movements.