TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 4:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result depends solely on which team wins the match within the regular timeframe, or if the teams finish equal. External factors such as rescheduling or cancellation have specific resolution protocols.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Venlo vs Jong AZ Alkmaar professional Eerste Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Venlo wins, the "Venlo" market resolves to Yes. If Jong AZ Alkmaar wins, the "Jong AZ Alkmaar" market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not account for post-match proceedings such as extra time, penalties, or award decisions.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a bookmaker’s assessment. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions, as the market aggregates information from a diverse range of participants, not just professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, making it a responsive indicator of potential event outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Venlo vs Jong AZ Alkmaar match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The specific details regarding payout amounts are determined by the contract prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on a particular outcome – could drive the price in that direction, even without any new fundamental information. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.