TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:55 AM EST
Kalshi
The match between Venezia and Napoli will determine whether more than zero goals are scored within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Venezia vs Napoli Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified threshold of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) is exceeded. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions on the likelihood of different events. It’s common to see this market offer odds that diverge from sportsbook consensus, particularly when public sentiment strongly clashes with expert analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated beliefs of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly evolving based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of the event’s potential.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of goals scored in the Venezia vs Napoli match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether the ‘over’ or ‘under’ contracts pay out. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the match concludes and the official result is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the official match statistics.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Venezia or Napoli would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact predictions. Pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators and updated team lineups released closer to kickoff will be closely watched by traders. Unexpected events during the match itself, such as early red cards or penalties, could also lead to rapid shifts in the odds.