TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Venezia and Inter. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, providing insight into the offensive intensity of the game.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Venezia vs Inter professional Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Multiple outcome thresholds are evaluated: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. If the actual goal count exceeds any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'. The resolution is strictly tied to regular-time scoring, with no affiliation or endorsement implied by the platform hosting the event, and all league-related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome as new information emerges. It's common to see differences, especially as the event approaches and more data becomes available. However, both aim to represent the probability of an event occurring, and discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market is constantly updating its predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the total number of goals scored in the Venezia vs Inter match, as officially recorded by the governing football league. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Venezia or Inter would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match team news are also catalysts. Furthermore, large-volume trades by individual participants on Kalshi could temporarily shift prices, although the market typically self-corrects as more traders weigh in. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price fluctuations.