TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming professional soccer match between Venezia and Inter. It focuses on how many goals separate the two teams at the end of regular time, with different thresholds defining various outcomes.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios for the Venezia vs Inter Serie A match scheduled for October 28, 2026. Resolution occurs solely based on regular time results—90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Four distinct outcomes are defined: Venezia winning by more than 2.5 goals, Venezia winning by more than 1.5 goals, Inter winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Inter winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any of these conditions met during regular time will resolve the respective market to 'Yes.' The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, noting that all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team news, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individual traders. Over time, as more information becomes available, the prices in this market may converge with, or diverge from, sportsbook odds depending on how traders interpret the latest developments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread of the Venezia vs Inter match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange positions, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Venezia vs Inter match, as officially recorded, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing soccer league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and contract payouts shortly after the event concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or weather conditions impacting the match could also cause price fluctuations. Major upsets in other relevant matches or broader changes in public perception of the teams’ capabilities could also move this market. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis for potential catalysts.