TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Inter will win its professional Serie A soccer game against Venezia. Currently, Kalshi gives Inter a 98.0% probability of winning, with a 2.0% probability of a tie. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match as determined by the official result of the Venezia vs Inter professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 28, 2026, as that will begin the window for resolution of this market.
The event determines the winner of the Venezia vs Inter professional Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Venezia, a win for Inter, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the defined rules. The markets exclusively address the result within normal time and do not account for extra time or penalty phases. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with Lega Serie A or the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Venezia vs Inter match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time estimate of the likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a margin system, and traders must deposit collateral to cover potential losses, ensuring the market remains solvent and functioning efficiently.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Venezia vs Inter match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on this official result, and payouts will be distributed to contract holders accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could all shift expectations and impact prices. Unexpected announcements from either team, such as changes in the starting lineup, could also trigger significant movement. Furthermore, any major upsets in related matches or broader football news might influence traders' perceptions and lead to adjustments in the odds. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in this market.