TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:00 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Venezia FC and SSC Napoli, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Venezia FC" if Venezia FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SSC Napoli" if SSC Napoli are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Venezia FC and SSC Napoli, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Venezia FC" if Venezia FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SSC Napoli" if SSC Napoli are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a team is more likely to score first than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move in that direction. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of prediction markets as new information becomes available. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbook odds in accuracy over time.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the probability that outcome will occur, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts on a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of that team scoring first. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team taking the early lead.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, Venezia or Napoli, scores the first goal in the match. Official match data will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players (especially strikers), or changes in team form could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, could also impact trader sentiment. A major upset in a related match involving either team could also cause a ripple effect. Generally, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s scoring ability has the potential to move this market.