TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:02 PM EST
Kalshi
The markets evaluate whether more than a specific number of goals will be scored in a soccer match between Venados and Leones Negros. The outcome depends on the combined total goals scored by both teams within the regulation time of the game.
These markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Venados vs Leones Negros professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: over 0.5, over 1.5, over 2.5, over 3.5, over 4.5, and over 5.5 goals. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the total goals meet or exceed the specified threshold for a market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and the secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks and logos.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and participant perspectives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. As a result, you may see discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Kalshi and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the event's likely outcome. It's valuable to compare both to gain a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total goals scored in the Venados vs Leones Negros match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Venados vs Leones Negros match will be the determining factor. Official match statistics from a recognized sporting authority will be used to verify the final score and settle the market. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances after the resolution process is complete.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Venados or Leones Negros could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also play a role. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and analysts, even if not reflected in sportsbook odds, can influence trader sentiment and move the market. Finally, any unexpected developments related to team morale or coaching decisions could also have an impact.