TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:58 PM EST
Kalshi
The Liga de Expansion MX encounter between Venados and Alacranes will determine if both teams can score in the allotted 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The contest will showcase each side's ability to create scoring opportunities and hold off the opposition's attacks.
If Venados and Alacranes both score a goal in the Venados vs Alacranes Liga de Expansion MX match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professionals. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows participants to directly assess the probability of both teams scoring. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on team form, injuries, or other factors influencing the game. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches, but significant differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of both teams scoring in the Venados vs Alacranes match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective forecast. A higher price indicates greater confidence in the outcome, while a lower price suggests less certainty.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Venados and the Alacranes score at least one goal during the match. The official match result will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market and any potential payouts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Venados or the Alacranes would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting the style of play, could cause movement. Any unexpected announcements related to the game, or even broader sporting news, could influence trading activity.