TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:09 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams compete in a match where only a outright win for either side after regular time determines the outcome. A tie results in a specific resolution, and any significant changes to the game's schedule affect how the result is settled.
The market resolves based on the result of the Venados vs Alacranes professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Venados wins, the "Venados" market resolves to Yes. If Alacranes wins, the "Alacranes" market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on team rankings and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting biases. This market, driven by informed traders, aims to provide a more accurate assessment of the event’s probability. Discrepancies between the two can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price differences to lock in a profit, though such opportunities are often short-lived.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Venados vs Alacranes match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual outcome, allowing traders to profit from correct predictions. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on weather conditions, particularly if the match is played outdoors, could also play a role. Public opinion shifts, based on expert analysis or media coverage, and even significant bets placed by informed traders can all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.