TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Vejle BK vs. Aarhus GF
Volume:
$88,384
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Danish Superliga soccer match between Vejle BK and Aarhus GF scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi predict the outcome (Vejle win, Aarhus win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how cancellation (with no make-up game) is handled. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation, while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation rule.Hero Tip:
Track official Superligaen.dk announcements for any postponement or cancellation. If the match is canceled with no rescheduled date, Polymarket's draw market will pay out while win markets will not, creating a logical inconsistency. Kalshi markets may remain unresolved or follow platform-specific discretion.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Vejle win (resolves YES if Vejle wins, NO otherwise including cancellation), Aarhus win (resolves YES if Aarhus wins, NO otherwise including cancellation), and Draw (resolves YES if draw OR if game is canceled with no make-up, NO otherwise). Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw only).
- Kalshi: Three separate outcome markets (Tie, Vejle, Aarhus) that each resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Vejle vs Aarhus professional Danish Superliga soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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