TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 10:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Vegas and St. Louis, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team secures a lead exceeding specific goal differentials. Postponements and cancellations have defined procedures to determine resolution.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Vegas or St. Louis wins the NHL game scheduled for October 22, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: St. Louis winning by more than 2.5 goals, St. Louis winning by more than 1.5 goals, Vegas winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Vegas winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely trade based on their own analysis and information. Therefore, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and adapt quickly to changing circumstances.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Vegas vs St. Louis game. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Vegas vs St. Louis game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports league. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by each contract. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their resulting payouts on Kalshi following the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Vegas or St. Louis teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts, or even public sentiment – as reflected in other polls or analyses – could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about player availability or team performance could also cause substantial fluctuations in the price of contracts representing different spreads.