TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 10:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Minnesota will win its NHL game against Vegas. Currently, Kalshi gives Minnesota an 89.0% probability of winning, while Vegas is at 12.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Vegas vs Minnesota NHL game originally scheduled for October 12, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on October 13, 2026, as this is the estimated resolution date for the market, dependent on the completion of the game and subsequent result confirmation.
The market resolves based on the winner of the NHL game between Vegas and Minnesota scheduled for October 12, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs and influence the price. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to identify potential value, as the market aggregates information in a unique way compared to traditional odds-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Vegas vs Minnesota game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more trades occur, the price converges towards a consensus view, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the game's potential results. The current market reflects the aggregated beliefs of those actively trading.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vegas vs Minnesota game, as reported by a trusted source. This ensures a fair and transparent process for determining the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result. The platform will clearly communicate the resolution details once they become available.
Several signals could influence this market leading up to Oct 13, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants might indicate new information or a shift in expectations. Monitoring these factors can provide valuable insights into potential market movements and opportunities for traders.