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$154.4b

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$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Vegalta vs Jubilo I
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What is the result of Vegalta vs Jubilo I?

Volume:
$430,894

Vegalta

 - Kalshi

Vegalta - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 11:31 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Vegalta

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$240,273
N/A
N/A
$81,825
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118,665
N/A
N/A
$68,830
Settled
No
kalshi

Jubilo I

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71,956
N/A
N/A
$49,086
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Japan's J2 League between two teams competing on a specified date. The market focuses on determining the exact result after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. It reflects the competitive performance of both teams within the normal duration of the game.

Kalshi

The event determines the result of the Vegalta vs Jubilo I professional Japan J2 League soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Vegalta, a win for Jubilo I, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The platform explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league or its entities.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Vegalta vs Jubilo match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probabilities are shifting as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $430,894, with $430,856 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment and allows you to analyze how predictions are evolving leading up to the event. This information helps you understand where others believe the most likely outcome lies.

Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when public perception differs from expert analysis. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly, potentially offering value to informed bettors. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The closer we get to the event, the more responsive the prices will be to relevant news and developments. This creates an environment where informed traders can potentially profit from mispricings.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vegalta vs Jubilo match. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner or any other outcome defined by the market contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources as the event approaches to stay informed.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over another. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or leagues could influence overall sentiment and trading activity. Public announcements, expert analysis, and even social media trends can all contribute to price movements on Kalshi as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.