TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Vasteraas and Halmstad in the Allsvenskan league. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Vasteraas vs Halmstad professional Allsvenskan soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Vasteraas win, Halmstad win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the teams finish level after regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of normal playing time.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, as they represent the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders rather than a single entity setting the lines. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market aims to reflect the true probability of each outcome as perceived by participants. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi tend to converge with sportsbook odds, though differences can still occur due to varying levels of information and analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing each possible outcome of the Vasteraas vs Halmstad match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the outcome. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vasteraas vs Halmstad match, as determined by the governing sports authority. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants. Traders should monitor official sources for updates leading up to and following the scheduled match time to understand the resolution process.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Performance in recent matches for both Vasteraas and Halmstad will also be closely watched. Major announcements from team management or coaching staff, or even shifts in public opinion reflected in sports news and analysis, could influence trading activity. Unexpected upsets in other related matches could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price movements on Kalshi.