TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in the Vasco da Gama versus Remo match, focusing on whether Vasco da Gama wins by a specific goal difference or Remo wins by a specific goal difference. The result is determined solely by the goals scored during the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential between Vasco da Gama and Remo in their Brasileiro Serie A match on October 10, 2026, considering only the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and excluding extra time or penalties. Two markets exist for Vasco da Gama winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, and two markets exist for Remo winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the specified condition is met—Vasco da Gama winning by the stated margin or Remo winning by the stated margin—the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd.' Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s a useful comparison point for assessing where public opinion diverges from professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what a trader would need to pay to own a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome occurs, and conversely, what they would receive for selling such a contract.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Vasco da Gama vs Remo match, specifically the spread as determined by official match statistics. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams could also impact predictions. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can cause price fluctuations, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.