TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 7:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Vasco da Gama and Corinthians. The result is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The event specifically excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026. There are three possible outcomes: Vasco da Gama win, Corinthians win, or a tie—all determined after the full 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the defined rules. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of individuals with varying levels of knowledge and insight. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. It's common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with higher demand pushing prices up and increased supply driving them down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions, or even pre-match commentary from analysts, might also cause shifts in the market. Major events like key player suspensions or significant tactical changes announced before the match are likely to drive increased volume and price fluctuations. Overall, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team winning could move this market.