TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 8:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional Ettan soccer match between Vasalunds and Arlanda. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether Vasalunds, Arlanda, or a tied result will occur by the end of regulation time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Vasalunds vs Arlanda professional Ettan soccer game scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Vasalunds wins, the 'Vasalunds' market resolves to Yes. If Arlanda wins, the 'Arlanda' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers regulation time outcomes and does not account for results determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own analysis and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. As more information becomes available and more people participate, the odds on Kalshi may converge or diverge from traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event, as they incorporate a broader range of perspectives than a sportsbook’s internal models.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The goal is to profit by accurately predicting the outcome of the Vasalunds vs Arlanda match, and the market efficiently aggregates this collective intelligence into a single price point.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vasalunds vs Arlanda match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes could also cause significant movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring these signals and the overall trading activity on Kalshi can provide valuable insights into how the market is evolving.