TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Varlamov Oleh and Troian Andrii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 20 at 1:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Varlamov Oleh' if Varlamov Oleh wins against Troian Andrii. This market will resolve to 'Troian Andrii' if Troian Andrii wins against Varlamov Oleh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Varlamov Oleh and Troian Andrii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 20 at 1:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Varlamov Oleh' if Varlamov Oleh wins against Troian Andrii. This market will resolve to 'Troian Andrii' if Troian Andrii wins against Varlamov Oleh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides and ensure profitability. This market, however, is driven by the aggregated beliefs of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the result. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the market as new information becomes available. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Varlamov vs. Troian match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to incorporate the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Varlamov vs. Troian match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result and the market’s settlement.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as a venue change or weather concerns, could also play a role. Furthermore, public opinion and analysis from sports commentators might influence trading activity. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities, leading to price adjustments in this market.