TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Croatia's HNL league between two teams. The result is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers all possible outcomes of the match, including a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Varazdin vs Slaven Belupo professional Croatia HNL soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time; if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following defined procedures. The event exclusively considers the result after normal time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the odds here may diverge. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly differs from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders enter the market, the prices adjust based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if a specific result happens in the Varazdin versus Slaven Belupo match. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Varazdin versus Slaven Belupo match in the Croatian First Football League will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the official match results from established sports news sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Varazdin or Slaven Belupo could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match commentary from football analysts, could also impact trader sentiment. Major tactical decisions announced before the game, or even early goals scored during the match, are likely to cause rapid price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential market movements.