TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Japan's J2 League between Vanraure Hachinohe and Yokohama. The result is determined by which team wins the game within the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. If the teams finish level after this regulation period, the match ends in a tie.
The event covers three possible outcomes for the Vanraure Hachinohe vs Yokohama J2 League match scheduled for October 4, 2026: a Vanraure Hachinohe win, a Yokohama win, or a tie—all determined solely by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if its specific outcome occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from odds offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome of the Vanraure Hachinohe vs Yokohama match. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Comparing these odds can provide a broader perspective on the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Vanraure Hachinohe vs Yokohama match. The price of each contract reflects the current market expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Essentially, the market price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with buyers driving prices up and sellers driving them down, creating a dynamic representation of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vanraure Hachinohe vs Yokohama match, as reported by official sports sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out based on the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to this date to understand the potential implications for this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions affecting the Vanraure Hachinohe vs Yokohama match could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding matches, or even public statements from key players, can also shift expectations. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also lead to price adjustments in this market as traders react to new information.