TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of total points scored by both teams in an upcoming college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to speculate on how high-scoring the game might be.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of Vanderbilt and Kentucky in their college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026, exceeds specified point thresholds ranging from 31.5 to 73.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final score. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they selected.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. As a result, you may see discrepancies between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, different analytical approaches, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market itself.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the total points scored falling within a specific range. As more traders buy contracts indicating a belief that the total will be higher, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely outcome. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Vanderbilt versus Kentucky game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a total points value that matches the actual game total will settle at 100, while those predicting a different total will settle accordingly. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Vanderbilt or Kentucky would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions that favor a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics could lead to shifts in market sentiment as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.