TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the number of points a team must exceed for the market to settle positively. The outcomes depend solely on the official game result, with specific rules for handling postponements.
All markets resolve based on the official final point total scored by either Vanderbilt or Kentucky in the college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold (e.g., Kentucky over 13.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds set in individual markets.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team biases into their initial odds, while this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in. Over time, you may observe convergence between this market and sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and opinions solidify. However, discrepancies can persist due to differing market participants and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final team totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the market price dynamically adjusts, offering a real-time assessment of the likely team totals for Vanderbilt and Kentucky.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Vanderbilt and Kentucky will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the combined total points scored by both teams during the game. Any overtime periods will be included in the final score. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to game day. News regarding key player injuries for either Vanderbilt or Kentucky would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause price fluctuations. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected by expert analysis or betting trends, could move this market as traders adjust their positions.