TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of points scored in the final quarter of a college football game between Vanderbilt and Kentucky. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that must be achieved by both teams combined during the fourth quarter to determine the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the fourth quarter (excluding overtime) of the Vanderbilt vs Kentucky college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds the threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, 7.5 points, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For any game postponement, if the game commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the fourth quarter count, and overtime points are excluded from all calculations.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the total points scored in the 4th quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches and unfolds. The current price reflects the collective forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the fourth quarter of the Vanderbilt vs Kentucky game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Resolution will be based on official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual final total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect totals will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy would likely cause movement. In-game developments, such as a dominant performance by one team or unexpected scoring patterns, could also rapidly shift the market price. Even broader factors, like weather conditions impacting the game's style of play, could play a role. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the final 4th quarter total is crucial for informed trading.