TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory for Georgia in their college football game against Vanderbilt. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, allowing participants to bet on how convincingly Georgia might win.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Vanderbilt vs Georgia college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If Georgia's victory exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are permitted if the game commences within 48 hours of the original start time, with resolution based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likely outcome. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed. Discrepancies between this market and sportsbook odds can present opportunities for arbitrage, though these are often quickly exploited by traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Vanderbilt vs Georgia game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own assessments of the game, leading to a dynamic and evolving price discovery process. The current price indicates what the market believes is the fair probability of each spread, and the volume traded shows the level of conviction behind those beliefs.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Vanderbilt vs Georgia game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available data to determine the winning contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Vanderbilt or Georgia teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts could also move the market, as weather conditions can affect the style of play and the final score. Unexpected news or developments related to team morale, coaching changes, or even off-field issues could also cause shifts in the market. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths will likely be reflected in the price of contracts.