TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Vanderbilt and Georgia. It provides a way to speculate on short-term performance during the contest, rather than the overall game outcome.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points during the third quarter of the Vanderbilt vs Georgia college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If Georgia scores more points in that quarter, the Georgia market resolves to Yes. If Vanderbilt scores more points, its market resolves to Yes. If both teams score an equal number of points, the Tie market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the third quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular team, they can buy contracts, driving up the price and potentially creating a difference between the two. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – Vanderbilt winning the 3rd quarter, or Georgia winning the 3rd quarter. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust, reflecting the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market’s depth, shown by the bid and ask prices, indicates how readily traders are willing to buy or sell at different price points.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 3rd quarter of the Vanderbilt vs Georgia game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. The final price of the winning contract will reflect the probability assigned to that outcome by the market leading up to the game’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Vanderbilt or Georgia would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also shift trader sentiment. Even public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can influence the price, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions before this market resolves.