TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential specifically within the third quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team could win that quarter, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance anticipated in a single game segment.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Vanderbilt vs Georgia college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the third quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting an equitable assessment considering the circumstances surrounding the delay.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents what traders believe will actually happen. As more information becomes available – like injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event nears, the odds on Kalshi may converge with or diverge from those found at sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event, as they incorporate a broader range of insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the third quarter of the Vanderbilt vs Georgia game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The current price indicates the market’s collective expectation, and fluctuations reflect new information or shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final third-quarter spread of the Vanderbilt vs Georgia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The final spread will be the determining factor for all contracts in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Vanderbilt or Georgia would likely cause price movement. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they affect the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Major coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public information released about team morale or preparation could lead to changes in the price of contracts on Kalshi.