TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second quarter of a college football game between Vanderbilt and Georgia. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, allowing participants to speculate on whether the winning team will exceed that margin during that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Vanderbilt vs Georgia college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team achieves a point differential exceeding the specified threshold for that market during that quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result of the second quarter. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds, but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals buying and selling contracts based on their own predictions. It’s common to see initial discrepancies that narrow as the event approaches, as both markets incorporate new information and adjust their expectations. However, this market can sometimes offer different insights than traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy contracts at a lower price and ask to sell contracts at a higher price. The current price reflects the probability of a particular spread occurring in the second quarter, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders believe Vanderbilt will cover the spread, the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and generate a forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final second-quarter spread of the Vanderbilt vs Georgia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout of $1.00 per contract, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the determining factor for all contracts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Vanderbilt or Georgia would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could influence trader behavior and adjust the spread. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also contribute to price fluctuations.