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420,368
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Closed: Nov 1, 5:18 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming MLS match between Vancouver and Seattle scheduled for November 1, 2026, this event tracks whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during regular time, including any added stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
If Vancouver and Seattle both score a goal in the Vancouver vs Seattle MLS match originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing the probability of both teams scoring, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the event's likelihood.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Vancouver vs Seattle match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective belief of all traders on the platform regarding the likelihood of the outcome, and is constantly updated based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether both Vancouver and Seattle score at least one goal during the match. The final result will be determined by official match data, and the market will settle to 100 if both teams score, or 0 if either team fails to score. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the match's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Vancouver or Seattle would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match analysis from reputable sources could also cause the market to react. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of both teams scoring will likely lead to price movement on Kalshi.