TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Vancouver and Seattle. The result is determined solely by the standings after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any extra time periods or penalty shootouts. The market accounts for potential game disruptions by allowing for fair resolution if the match is canceled or significantly rescheduled.
The event resolves based on the result of the Vancouver vs Seattle professional MLS soccer game scheduled for November 1, 2026, after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Vancouver wins, the 'Vancouver' market resolves to Yes; if Seattle wins, the 'Seattle' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond its original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The markets are independent of any official league endorsement, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or changing circumstances than traditional sportsbooks, as the continuous trading process incorporates new data almost instantly. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform facilitates this price discovery process, allowing traders to express their views and collectively determine the odds. The current market price is driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and overall market sentiment surrounding the Vancouver vs Seattle match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vancouver vs Seattle match, as reported by authoritative sports news sources. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available data. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources as the event approaches to stay informed about potential factors influencing the outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 2, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could all influence the perceived probability of each outcome. Major news reports about team morale or performance could also shift market sentiment. Any significant development related to the Vancouver or Seattle teams will likely be reflected in the trading activity on Kalshi. Monitoring sports news and social media for updates will be crucial for understanding potential market movements leading up to the match.