TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses different scoring margins in an upcoming NHL hockey game between Vancouver and New York. It focuses on whether specific teams win by a margin exceeding various goal differentials. The outcomes reflect varying levels of dominance in the match.
The event consists of four markets, each evaluating whether a team wins the Vancouver vs New York I NHL game—originally scheduled for October 13, 2026—by a margin exceeding specified goal differentials: New York I winning by over 2.5 goals, New York I winning by over 1.5 goals, Vancouver winning by over 1.5 goals, and Vancouver winning by over 2.5 goals. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The resolution hinges on the official game result and the margin of victory, with each market independently assessing its specific condition.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it might suggest that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets. Discrepancies can also arise due to differing levels of liquidity and market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Vancouver vs New York spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective expectations of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to incorporate this knowledge. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly accurate forecast of the event’s outcome, driven by the incentives of those actively trading in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Vancouver vs New York game. The platform will then verify this result against authoritative sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Vancouver or New York teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or performance could also cause rapid price movements. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in expectations and influence the overall direction of the market.