TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Vancouver vs Florida: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Vancouver vs Florida?

Volume:
$136,623

Florida wins by over 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Florida wins by over 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 10:15 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Florida wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,423
N/A
N/A
$48,936
Settled
No
kalshi

Vancouver wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,545
N/A
N/A
$18,872
Settled
No
kalshi

Vancouver wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,052
N/A
N/A
$19,830
Settled
No
kalshi

Vancouver wins by over 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,767
N/A
N/A
$2,670
Settled
No
kalshi

Vancouver wins by over 4.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,096
N/A
N/A
$2,096
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,821
N/A
N/A
$1,644
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 4.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,057
N/A
N/A
$1,057
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida wins by over 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$863
N/A
N/A
$807
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming NHL hockey game between Vancouver and Florida. It focuses on whether either team will secure a decisive win by a specified number of goals. The outcome hinges on the actual game result and the goal differential.

Kalshi

The event consists of four markets, each tied to the Vancouver vs Florida NHL game originally scheduled for October 15, 2026, and each resolving based on the goal differential of the final result. Markets one and two address scenarios where Florida wins by more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals, respectively, while markets three and four address Vancouver winning by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of which specific outcome market they have engaged with.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NHL Stanley Cup market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $135,450, with a total volume of $136,623 traded to date. You can see how the implied probabilities shift over time as traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about which team will win. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market sentiment and activity around this competition, allowing you to monitor the evolving predictions.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to represent the true probability of an outcome as determined by traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may be influenced by promotional offers or liability management, this market is driven purely by participant beliefs. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the potential outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of the corresponding outcome. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market deems to be a fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by factors like team performance, injuries, and news reports, all interpreted by the traders on the platform.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the NHL Stanley Cup Finals, determining which team wins the championship. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning team will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player injuries to key teams, unexpected coaching changes, or significant shifts in team performance during the playoffs could all cause price fluctuations. News regarding team chemistry, trade rumors, or even controversial refereeing decisions could also influence trader sentiment. The outcomes of early playoff series and the perceived strength of remaining contenders will be closely watched, potentially leading to substantial movements in the market price as the Stanley Cup Finals approach.