TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 12:51 AM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses whether the combined number of goals scored by both teams in a specific NHL game exceeds various thresholds. The outcome depends on the final tally of goals, including those scored in overtime, with shootout goals counted as one goal for the winning team. The market accounts for potential game postponements or cancellations, ensuring a fair resolution based on the official result.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored by both Vancouver and Anaheim in their NHL game scheduled for October 27, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from over 1.5 goals to over 9.5 goals—resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score exceeds that specific number. Goals from regulation time and overtime are counted normally, while a shootout result contributes one goal to the winning team's total. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring transparency and fairness regardless of scheduling changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a particular total is more probable than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of contracts representing that outcome will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the actual result. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will dynamically adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the game’s likely goal total.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Vancouver vs Anaheim game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the relevant hockey league. The final outcome will determine which contracts pay out, and at what value, based on the price at the time of resolution. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Vancouver or Anaheim teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in goaltender assignments or unexpected lineup changes could also shift expectations. Even weather conditions, if they impact travel or game conditions, could play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could influence trading activity and move the market.