TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 2:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Van Spor FK and Bandirmaspor, scheduled for October 9, 2026. Markets exist for Van Spor FK winning, Bandirmaspor winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics.
This event is for the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Van Spor FK and Bandirmaspor.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Van vs Bandirma professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome resolves for the specific market if the corresponding team wins or if the match ends in a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following defined procedures. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Differences in market creation parameters, such as the specific outcomes offered, can also contribute to discrepancies. Furthermore, differing levels of information and risk appetite among traders on each platform can lead to varied assessments of the likelihood of each outcome in the Van Spor FK vs. Bandirmaspor match. These factors combine to create potentially different probabilities for the same event.