TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 11d:18h:49m
$
In the upcoming college football game between Valparaiso and Stetson, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Valparaiso" if Valparaiso win the game. This market will resolve to "Stetson" if Stetson win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Valparaiso and Stetson, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Valparaiso" if Valparaiso win the game. This market will resolve to "Stetson" if Stetson win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the result of the Valparaiso versus Stetson college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026. If Valparaiso wins, its corresponding market will resolve to Yes, and if Stetson wins, its market will resolve accordingly. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, both markets will resolve to a fair price, reflecting an equitable outcome given the unforeseen circumstances. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The differing prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market stem from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity levels. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to variations in how information is interpreted and reflected in prices. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform can influence price discovery. Differences in fees and market-making activity can also contribute to price discrepancies, even when both platforms are tracking the same underlying event – the Valparaiso vs. Stetson game.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Valparaiso vs. Stetson game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market's settlement data shortly after the game concludes and official results are available. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 14, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Valparaiso or Stetson would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Major coaching changes or unexpected team news could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant changes in public perception, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, could influence trader behavior. Finally, even seemingly minor events, like weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, could contribute to fluctuations in the odds for this market.