TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in an upcoming college football game. Participants can speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of risk and potential return based on expected game offensiveness.
These markets resolve based on whether the total points scored by both Valparaiso and San Diego in their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds ranging from 31.5 to 71.5 points. Each market has a distinct threshold, and if the combined score surpasses that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's actual commencement.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade contracts based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant news breaks or as public sentiment shifts. Comparing the implied probability from Kalshi to sportsbook odds can reveal where the crowd disagrees with experts, or where information hasn’t yet been fully priced in.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the Valparaiso vs San Diego points total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific points total occurring. Buyers are expressing a belief that the total will be *less* than the contract price, while sellers believe it will be *more*. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as more traders participate, constantly refining the implied probability based on the collective intelligence of those trading.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total scored in the Valparaiso vs San Diego game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a points total at or below the actual total will pay out $100, while those predicting a higher total will expire worthless. The resolution will be based on official game statistics as reported by a trusted source.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Valparaiso or San Diego teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift expectations and alter the price of this market. Public perception and betting trends at sportsbooks can also influence the market.