TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Valparaiso Beacons vs. Northern Iowa Panthers (W)
Volume:
$47,771
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Valparaiso Beacons and Northern Iowa Panthers scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the binary outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution rules contain a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Valparaiso win and Northern Iowa win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The second resolution condition must resolve to No (or a different outcome) for the market to function. Contact Kalshi support immediately to clarify whether this is a drafting error or if the market structure is different than stated. Avoid trading until clarification is provided.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to Valparaiso Beacons if Valparaiso wins, Northern Iowa Panthers if Northern Iowa wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'If the Valparaiso Beacons win, the market will resolve to Valparaiso Beacons. If the Northern Iowa Panthers win, the market will resolve to Northern Iowa Panthers.'
- Kalshi: Logical contradiction: both outcomes specified to resolve Yes. First condition: If Valparaiso wins, resolves Yes. Second condition: If Northern Iowa wins, also resolves Yes. No resolution path for No outcome is defined. Key quote: 'If Valparaiso wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Northern Iowa wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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