TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Valparaiso Beacons vs. Michigan State Spartans (W)
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Valparaiso Beacons vs. Michigan State Spartans?

Total volume:
$3,834
Volume 24h:
$481
349%
Liquidity:
$268
0.78%
Open interest:
$3,226
5%

Michigan St.

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 01d:04h:26m

Michigan St. wins

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% High Projected APY: 3,819% Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michigan St.

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$1,818
0.06%
12,019%
$1,720
1d 4h 26m
Active
polymarket

Valparaiso Beacons vs. Michigan State Spartans (W)

Trade
50%
Yes 99¢No 99¢
98¢
$268
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 1h 26m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
Avg: 49.5¢Max: 98¢
kalshi

Valparaiso

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$2,016
31%
N/A
$1,506
1d 4h 26m
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Valparaiso and Michigan State, originally scheduled for November 3, 2026. The markets aim to determine which team wins the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Both platforms resolve to 'Yes' if either team wins, creating a guaranteed resolution and negating predictive value.Hero tip: Avoid trading these markets as they are guaranteed to resolve positively, regardless of the game's outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the game between Valparaiso and Michigan State on November 3rd. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If canceled, it resolves 50-50. Question: Valparaiso Beacons vs. Michigan State Spartans (W)
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Michigan State or Valparaiso wins the game scheduled for November 3rd. 'If Michigan St. wins...market resolves to Yes. If Valparaiso wins...market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the WBB game between Valparaiso Beacons and Michigan State Spartans on November 3 at 6:30PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the women's college basketball game between Valparaiso and Michigan State scheduled for November 3, 2026. If Michigan State wins, the market for Michigan State resolves to Yes, and the market for Valparaiso resolves to No. Conversely, if Valparaiso wins, its market resolves to Yes, and Michigan State's market resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Valparaiso vs. Michigan State game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $3,834, with $481 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors Michigan St. wins at 99, while Kalshi leans toward Valparaiso Beacons vs. Michigan State Spartans (W) at 50. This allows for a consensus view of expectations, aggregating insights from multiple prediction markets into a single, easy-to-understand interface.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event occurring, and comparing them can reveal interesting insights into market sentiment.

Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Differences in the fees charged by each platform, or the types of traders participating, can also contribute to price divergence. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—currently $3,834 overall—can impact how quickly prices react to new information or shifts in sentiment. These dynamics create unique market conditions on each venue.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Valparaiso vs. Michigan State game will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market dashboard once it’s officially reported. This ensures a transparent and verifiable process for settling this market.

Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could shift expectations and impact prices. Significant betting activity on traditional sportsbooks could also influence traders on Polymarket and Kalshi. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams’ performance could play a role in driving volume and price movements before the game concludes.