TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 3:47 PM EST
Kalshi
In the 2026 VALORANT Champions Shanghai tournament, Group D features four top teams competing in a round-robin format followed by a decisive match to determine the group leader. The winner will advance with a perfect record, showcasing dominance throughout their matches.
The VALORANT Champions Shanghai Group D winner is determined by a combination of round-robin results and a final group winners' match. A team must finish with a 2-0 record in matches to be considered the official group winner. Simply qualifying for playoffs through a decider match, even as the second team, does not confer group winner status. Each market specifies one team as the potential winner, resolving to Yes only if that exact team fulfills the criteria of winning both of its matches and the group winners' match. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team winning VALORANT Champions Shanghai Group D. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective beliefs of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of that team winning. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market odds continuously adjust to new information and insights.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of VALORANT Champions Shanghai Group D is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers. Traders who correctly predicted the winning team will receive a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. This market provides a unique opportunity to forecast the outcome of a major esports event based on the collective intelligence of the crowd.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major roster changes for any of the competing teams, unexpected tournament upsets in other groups, or even news regarding player health and form could all shift trader sentiment. Strong performances in practice matches or qualifying rounds leading up to the main event could also impact the odds. Any information suggesting a team is peaking or struggling will likely be reflected in the trading volume and price movements on Kalshi. Keep an eye on esports news and analysis for potential catalysts that could move this market.