TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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VALORANT Champions 2026: Winner
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win VALORANT Champions 2026?

Volume:
$494,127

LOUD

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 8:08 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

LOUD

View
100%
99%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50,276
N/A
N/A
$28,107
Settled
Yes
polymarket

LOUD

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,249
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

100 Thieves

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,746
N/A
N/A
$32,786
Settled
No
polymarket

100 Thieves

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,661
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Team Vitality

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,075
N/A
N/A
$30,102
Settled
No
polymarket

Team Vitality

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,436
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

G2 Esports

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,261
N/A
N/A
$18,318
Settled
No
polymarket

G2 Esports

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,132
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Paper Rex

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,834
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Paper Rex

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,994
N/A
N/A
$9,230
Settled
No
polymarket

Karmine Corp

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,359
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Karmine Corp

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,858
N/A
N/A
$3,654
Settled
No
kalshi

NRG

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,270
N/A
N/A
$7,643
Settled
No
polymarket

NRG

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,649
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

TYLOO

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,785
N/A
N/A
$9,522
Settled
No
polymarket

TYLOO

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,668
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

T1

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,801
N/A
N/A
$10,036
Settled
No
polymarket

T1

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nongshim RedForce

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,308
N/A
N/A
$4,528
Settled
No
polymarket

Nongshim RedForce

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,949
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Global Esports

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,187
N/A
N/A
$4,112
Settled
No
polymarket

Global Esports

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,447
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

EDward Gaming

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

EDward Gaming

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,635
N/A
N/A
$2,389
Settled
No
kalshi

Team Liquid

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,968
N/A
N/A
$3,538
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 35

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the 2026 VALORANT Champions tournament in Shanghai, China. Currently, the consensus probability of LOUD winning is 55.0%, aggregating data from Kalshi and Polymarket. The second most probable outcome is a win for 100 Thieves, at 22.0%. Resolution will be based on the official results published by the Official VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com) with Liquipedia as a secondary source. Keep an eye on the tournament bracket following the group stage, which concludes on October 15, 2026, to see which teams are most likely to advance to the final stages.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms effectively define resolution based on the official winner of VALORANT Champions 2026, with a shared fallback for tournament disruption.Primary resolution logic: Official VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com) with Liquipedia as a secondary source.

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' for the team declared the winner of VALORANT Champions 2026 by Riot Games.
  • If the tournament is canceled or postponed beyond November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared by that date, the market resolves to 'Other'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie: If multiple teams are declared winners, the market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
  • Tournament Disruption: If the tournament is significantly altered (e.g., format change impacting winner determination) or faces a major disruption, PredictionHero will consult with Riot Games and Liquipedia to determine a fair resolution.
Timing: Resolution will occur immediately following the official announcement of the VALORANT Champions 2026 winner by Riot Games, no later than November 18, 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China. If this tournament is postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes for the market associated with whichever team is officially declared the champion of the 2026 VALORANT Champions Shanghai tournament. Each market corresponds to a specific competing team, and the market linked to the actual champion will resolve positively. All markets share identical secondary disclaimers stating that the platform is not affiliated with the governing league, and that all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners. The resolution depends solely on the tournament's official results.

Frequently asked questions

The VALORANT Champions 2026 market dashboard consolidates trading activity from multiple prediction platforms, offering a consensus view of who is favored to win the tournament. Currently, the total volume across these platforms is $494,127, with $79,688 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket and Kalshi are the primary venues tracked, and the dashboard displays the implied probabilities from each. This allows traders to see how opinions are shifting and compare prices across different exchanges for the VALORANT Champions 2026 market.

Several factors could significantly impact the VALORANT Champions 2026 market. Major roster changes for leading teams, unexpected tournament upsets in qualifying events, and performance fluctuations during the main event are all potential catalysts. News regarding player health, coaching staff changes, or strategic innovations could also shift probabilities. Strong performances by underdog teams in early stages of the tournament could also drive increased trading volume and price adjustments in this market, as traders react to new information and reassess their predictions.