TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Tier 2 team qualifies for VALORANT Champions 2026, currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026 in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Tier 2 team means any team that is not one of the partnered (franchised) organizations of a VCT 2026 international league (Americas, EMEA, Pacific, or China). Whether the organization holds league partner status is the sole determinant. Teams that entered their league's Stage 2 through the Play-In path as Challengers or National Competition participants are examples of Tier 2 teams. Qualifying means being officially confirmed by Riot Games as a participating team of VALORANT Champions 2026, whether through a Stage 2 result, Championship Points, a replacement or substitution, or any other official allocation method. A Tier 2 team that is officially confirmed as a participant and later withdraws or is replaced will still count as having qualified. If a Tier 2 team is officially confirmed as a participant, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately. Confirmations of replacement participants will count through the scheduled end of the event. If no Tier 2 team has been officially confirmed as a participant by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, including if VALORANT Champions 2026 is cancelled or its field is never confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games and the VALORANT Champions Tour; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Tier 2 team qualifies for VALORANT Champions 2026, currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026 in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Tier 2 team means any team that is not one of the partnered (franchised) organizations of a VCT 2026 international league (Americas, EMEA, Pacific, or China). Whether the organization holds league partner status is the sole determinant. Teams that entered their league's Stage 2 through the Play-In path as Challengers or National Competition participants are examples of Tier 2 teams. Qualifying means being officially confirmed by Riot Games as a participating team of VALORANT Champions 2026, whether through a Stage 2 result, Championship Points, a replacement or substitution, or any other official allocation method. A Tier 2 team that is officially confirmed as a participant and later withdraws or is replaced will still count as having qualified. If a Tier 2 team is officially confirmed as a participant, this market will resolve to "Yes" immediately. Confirmations of replacement participants will count through the scheduled end of the event. If no Tier 2 team has been officially confirmed as a participant by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, including if VALORANT Champions 2026 is cancelled or its field is never confirmed within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games and the VALORANT Champions Tour; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of a Tier 2 team qualifying. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the VALORANT competitive landscape.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official list of teams qualifying for VALORANT Champions 2026 is released and verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100% if a Tier 2 team successfully qualifies for the tournament, and 0% otherwise. The definition of a 'Tier 2' team will be based on established rankings and tournament participation prior to the event, as defined by the platform’s market rules.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major roster changes within Tier 1 or Tier 2 teams, unexpected tournament results in qualifying events, and announcements regarding the VALORANT Champions 2026 format could all shift trader sentiment. Strong performances by a specific Tier 2 team in lead-up tournaments, or the emergence of a new, promising player, would likely increase the probability of a Tier 2 qualification. Conversely, disappointing results or internal team issues could decrease the odds, causing fluctuations in the market price.