TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to which EMEA team is the first to be eliminated from VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China. For the purposes of this market, the EMEA teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT EMEA league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: Karmine Corp, Team Liquid, FUT Esports, and Team Vitality. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026). The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more EMEA teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no EMEA team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first EMEA team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.
This market will resolve according to which EMEA team is the first to be eliminated from VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China. For the purposes of this market, the EMEA teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT EMEA league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: Karmine Corp, Team Liquid, FUT Esports, and Team Vitality. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026). The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more EMEA teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no EMEA team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first EMEA team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market aggregates insights from individuals with varying levels of knowledge and access to information. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when subjective factors or less-publicly available data are at play. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information surfaces, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, and the price movements can signal shifts in sentiment regarding the VALORANT Champions 2026 competition.
This market resolves around Nov 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by identifying the first team from the EMEA region to be eliminated from the VALORANT Champions 2026 tournament. Official tournament results and bracket information will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. The platform will then finalize the market, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the first EMEA team to be eliminated.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major roster changes for prominent EMEA teams, unexpected results in qualifying tournaments, and shifts in meta-game strategies could all impact trader sentiment. News regarding player health, visa issues preventing participation, or even significant performance dips during practice matches could also move the market. Additionally, announcements about tournament format changes or venue locations might introduce new uncertainties and affect how traders assess the probabilities of different teams being eliminated first.