TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Valorant Lower Bracket Final match between BBL Esports and Misa Esports in the Monsters Reloaded Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "BBL Esports" if BBL Esports win the match against Misa Esports. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win the match against BBL Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market refers to the Valorant Lower Bracket Final match between BBL Esports and Misa Esports in the Monsters Reloaded Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "BBL Esports" if BBL Esports win the match against Misa Esports. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win the match against BBL Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, this market aggregates the informed opinions of individual traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing analyses of team form, player matchups, and strategic approaches. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome, or that they have access to information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available and opinions shift.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Valorant BBL Esports vs Misa Esports best-of-five series within the Monsters Reloaded Closed Qualifier Playoffs. The winning team, as declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially confirmed and reported.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Unexpected news regarding player health, roster changes for either BBL Esports or Misa Esports, or significant shifts in team performance during other recent matches could all impact the odds. Major strategic announcements from either team, or even analysis from prominent Valorant commentators, could also sway trader sentiment. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning the series has the potential to move this market considerably.